For everyone following the Democratic Presidential nomination, Slate's delegate calculator is a lot of fun to play with.
This 2008 Presidential race is a lot like the final five minutes of a basketball game where one team has a 1,573 - 1,464 lead, but can't close the deal because the other team won't go away, despite being 109 points down with only 661 points left on the table. It may be possible to go on a 384-277 run in the last five minutes or 12 races, but it's likely. They're mostly just hoping to get close enough to rig a few superpoints in their favor. All the winning team has to do is run out the clock and protect their lead.
Yesterday on NPR's Morning Edition, Hillary Clinton aide Harold Ickes mentioned that pledged delegates are not formally bound to vote for the candidate they're elected to support. He went on to say that super delegates (he called them "automatic delegates") will "choose the candidate with the best chance in the general election" no matter who is ahead in pledged delegates.
This proved two things to me:
(1) This race will go all the way to the convention
(2) Clinton aide Harold Ickes sounds like a sleazebag.
With an appropriate surname. Ick!
1 comment:
I also think the Clinton approach to Florida and Michigan - screw the rules; we campaigned there, we won there (even though it's like showing up for a canceled game and claiming a forfeit victory), so we should get the delegates - is pretty damned sleazy.
The last thing the Dems need, of course, is squabbling over this kind of thing, while McCain blankets the airwaves with ads about petty, indecisive Democrats vs. his experience and "integrity" (which he doesn't actually have...but you know that line about the press in Robyn Hitchcock's "Queen Elvis"? Could've been written for McCain...).
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